I’m criticizing expert predictions because most of the time they are inacurate? You can not predict how the masses are going to react.
How do I know this? Let me explain. Who knows the UC Berkeley or Princeton university? Because they put their names on the paper and support the book in fact. For the interested people the link to the pdf . The study is pretty extensive and I personally don’t take it lightly.
I came upon this research through an interview with venture capitalist named Vinod Khosla. So if you are basing some of your research or publications on predictions of experts, I advice to triple check the sources of that publication.